Bad news for the Islamists: The Republicans will win the 2006 Elections.

The smart money and the political wonks both say its too soon to call the 2006 mid term elections, however, being an independent blogger with no money and as far from being an educated political scientist as I am from the planet Pluto, I'm going to call the mid term elections for the Grand Old Party.

If you're interested in an expert analysis of why the Republicans will continue to control the Congress read the excellent article below by Michael Barone below. In my humble opinion the Republicans will stay in power for one very good reason: The American people see President Bush and the Republican Congress as the keystones in defending the nation in the Global War On Terrorism (GWOT) that started with a dastardly and cowardly on the American Homeland on September 11, 2001. The historical parallel would be 1864 when the Republicans candidates were reelected by a public that wanted to continue the Civil War until total victory despite the losses and expense.

So it is today. The survival of the nation trumps all other issues. The Democrats of 2006 like their ancestors of 1864 can offer the American public nothing other than pulling defeat out of the jaws of victory. A defeat the public is aware that instead of bringing a lasting peace will lead to further attacks on the Homeland and an even more brutal war with the outcome in doubt.


http://www.jewishworldreview.com/michael/barone.php3?printer_friendly

Some comments in conclusion. Examination of the above factors leads me to conclude that 2006 is not another 1994-at least not yet. But Democrats need only 15/40ths of a 1994 to win control. As I mentioned in my column, there has been an eerie, historically unusual continuity in the House vote in the last five elections, from 1996 to 2004: Republicans have won between 49 and 51 percent of the popular vote, Democrats between 46 and 48.5 percent. That's also where you'll find the percentages in the 2004 presidential race. And the regional and demographic political contours underneath them have been remarkably steady too. If those continue to prevail, a House majority is almost surely out of reach for the Democrats.